Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Statsational Power Rankings Week 11

Denver maintains its hold on the top spot.  They have made us look good here as we've had them as the top team in the league for several weeks now.  Everyone is starting to catch up to us with that call.  Denver may be the most balanced team in the league.  They have the 5th defense and the 2nd offense.  The Broncos figure to keep a grasp on the top spot as they are a double digit favorite this week in KC.

Seattle gets a week off and creeps into the top 5.  The difference between Seattle at 5 and Pittsburgh at 10 is just .57 points.  Seattle may be a bit of a surprise but they have been impressive, especially at home.  Wins over Dallas, New England and Green Bay are really supporting their ranking.  Their troubles have come on the road losing to Arizona, St Louis and Detroit.  At 6-4 they are on the road at Miami in a game they really must win.  There are too many quality teams in the NFC looking for a wild card birth.  A Seattle win would help them inch closer to the playoffs.  They currently rank 3rd in defense and 21 in offense.  Their strength is rushing the ball where they are 4th.  Throwing it they are just 29th.

Some people may be surprised to see Indianapolis as low as they are.  They are 6-4 and in the hunt for the playoffs in the AFC.  The fact is Indianapolis is one of the worst defenses in the league, something New England took advantage of last week.  They currently rank 24th.  The offense is not much better ranking 18th.  They can throw it for some yards.  They average 33 more yards per game in the air then their opponents give up.  That is good for 8th in the league.  But that is about it right now.  They must win a home game this week against Buffalo or else they may be watching the playoffs at home.  They still have 2 games left with Houston.

Injuries

Taking Roethlisberger off Pitt puts them on par with Buffalo
Taking Cutler off the Bears knocks them below Carolina.
Taking Smith off SF still leaves them in 2nd overall.


Game of the Week
Houston @ Detroit +3

Detroit may be a bit of a surprise at 12.  They are 4-6 but should probably be 6-4.  In this league there is not much difference in 7-9 and 9-7.  If you look at the Giants last season they easily could have been 7-9 or worse and they went on to win the Super Bowl.  I am not saying 2012 Detroit are the 2011 Giants but I am saying they may be a bit underrated.  They get a home game on Thursday, as is tradition, against the Houston Texans.  The Texans try and win two road games against the NFC North in 3 weeks.  We have the NFC North as the toughest division in football.  If Detroit has any chance to get back to the playoffs they must win this week.  Houston is 6th in defense and 5th in Offense.  A real balanced team.  They threw up a bit of a cluncker last week but you have to think that was an anomaly.  Detroit is the best passing team in the league and Houston is middle of the pack in stopping the pass.  This one could be a very close game with playoff big playoff implications.

Worst Game of the Week
Tennessee @ Jacksonville +3

Jacksonville gave Houston their best effort on Sunday but they fell just short in over time.  With Chad Henne now at the helm maybe this Jags team can show some new life.  But they currently are ranked dead last in the league overall.  Henne can hopefully improve on the 25th ranked passing ranking.  Tennessee comes off a bye.  Previously they pounded Miami in Miami.  Tennessee is ranked 29th overall.  This is clearly the battle of the two worst teams matching up this week.  Although Tennessee is not totally out of the playoff picture.

Biggest Mismatch
Denver @ Kansas City +10

As we spoke about earlier Denver is the tops in the league.  They get a Kansas City team that perhaps has given up.  They were blow out last week at home by Cincinnati.  Kansas City ranks 31st overall, the offense is dead last at 32 and the defense is just 23rd.  The one thing KC can do is run the ball.  They are 6th in rushing and figure to try and play a ball control game keeping Peyton off the field.  Denver is 12th in stopping the run. 

Rank Teams Power Rating
1 Denver 30.13
2 San Francisco 29.61
3 New England 27.55
4 Houston 26.98
5 Seattle 24.77
6 Chicago 24.76
7 Atlanta 24.75
8 Green Bay 24.67
9 NY Giants 24.32
10 Pittsburgh 24.20
11 Dallas 23.21
12 Detroit 22.98
13 Baltimore 22.66
14 Washington 21.61
15 Tampa Bay 21.49
16 San Diego 21.21
17 Minnesota 21.08
18 Cincinnati 20.85
19 Carolina 20.10
20 NY Jets 19.75
21 New Orleans 19.67
22 Arizona 19.64
23 St. Louis 19.21
24 Philadelphia 18.34
25 Buffalo 17.54
26 Indianapolis 17.47
27 Cleveland 17.08
28 Miami 16.76
29 Tennessee 16.28
30 Oakland 15.35
31 Kansas City 14.76
32 Jacksonville 12.81


Rank Teams Strength Of Schedule
1 Carolina 23.76
2 St. Louis 23.19
3 Seattle 22.69
4 Dallas 22.39
5 Arizona 22.27
6 Denver 22.24
7 Tennessee 22.23
8 Jacksonville 22.12
9 Philadelphia 22.03
10 San Francisco 21.98
11 NY Jets 21.98
12 NY Giants 21.90
13 Green Bay 21.86
14 Buffalo 21.48
15 Washington 21.42
16 Chicago 21.38
17 Detroit 21.30
18 New Orleans 21.28
19 Cleveland 20.94
20 Minnesota 20.90
21 Kansas City 20.88
22 Oakland 20.87
23 Baltimore 20.59
24 New England 20.50
25 San Diego 20.47
26 Atlanta 20.44
27 Pittsburgh 20.41
28 Tampa Bay 20.20
29 Cincinnati 20.16
30 Houston 20.02
31 Indianapolis 19.56
32 Miami 19.33


NFC East 21.87 W L
NY Giants 24.32 6 4
Dallas 23.21 5 5
Washington 21.61 4 6
Philadelphia 18.34 3 7




NFC North 23.37 W L
Chicago 24.76 7 3
Green Bay 24.67 7 3
Detroit 22.98 4 6
Minnesota 21.08 6 4




NFC South 21.50 W L
Atlanta 24.75 9 1
Tampa Bay 21.49 6 4
Carolina 20.10 2 8
New Orleans 19.67 5 5




NFC West 23.31 W L
San Francisco 29.61 7 2
Seattle 24.77 6 4
Arizona 19.64 4 6
St. Louis 19.21 3 6




AFC East 20.40 W L
New England 27.55 7 3
NY Jets 19.75 4 6
Buffalo 17.54 4 6
Miami 16.76 4 6




AFC North 21.20 W L
Pittsburgh 24.20 6 4
Baltimore 22.66 8 2
Cincinnati 20.85 5 5
Cleveland 17.08 2 8




AFC South 18.38 W L
Houston 26.98 9 1
Indianapolis 17.47 6 4
Tennessee 16.28 4 6
Jacksonville 12.81 1 9




AFC West 20.36 W L
Denver 30.13 7 3
San Diego 21.21 4 6
Oakland 15.35 3 7
Kansas City 14.76 1 9

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