Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Week 1 Email Sent To Subscribers

Thank you for purchasing the Statsational selections for this season.  Those of you who were on board in 2011 and or 2012 were able to reap the benefits of the system plays.  We look to keep that going in 2013 with another winning season.
For a traditional handicapper week 1 might be the most difficult.  No matter how much homework you do it is very hard to predict how teams are going to perform with new personnel and new coaches.  It takes a minimum of 4 weeks to really get a feel for each team.  Even then we have teams like the 2012 Arizona Cardinals who started 4-0 with a shocking win in New England only to finish 6-10.  But then you have teams like Seattle who were underdogs in their first 3 home games and won each outright. They then went on to the playoffs.
Handicappers and odds makers alike do not really know who the top teams are going into the season.  They have their guesses based on past performance.  This is where the system has been able to exploit the early season number.  The lines in week 1 are sometimes a far cry from what the Week 16 lines would be in the same matchups.  This is because the NFL has purposefully designed its product so that it is not as difficult to turn things around as it is in other sports. 
In summary things don't always appear as they may be in the early weeks.  Every trend ATS shows that.  Week 1 picks can sometimes be scary but it is the tough bet that is often the best.


Week 1

1. Detroit -4.5.................66%
2. Tennessee +7.............62%
3. Buffalo +10.................62%
4. Arizona +4.5...............59%
5. Cleveland -1................58%
6. Philadelphia +3.5.........58%
7. Dallas -3.5...................58%
8. Oakland +10................57%
9. Denver -7.5..................57%
10. San Diego +4............55%
11. NY Jets +3................54%
12. Green Bay +4.5.........54%
BOL