Thursday, November 29, 2012

Statsational week 13 Rushing and Passing Projections

Top Rushing Teams
Washington, Buffalo, Kansas City, San Francisco, Houston

Bottom Rushing Teams
Denver, Baltimore, Tennessee, Miami, Oakland

Top Passing Teams
Denver, Atlanta, New England, NY Giants, Detroit

Bottom Passing Teams
Chicago, Seattle, Kansas City, St. Louis, NY Jets


Team  Expected Rushing Total  Expected Passing Total Total Yards
New Orleans                                          107                                         271                            378
Atlanta                                          127                                         350                            477
Seattle                                          123                                         157                            281
Chicago                                          118                                         147                            265
Minnesota                                          136                                         196                            332
Green Bay                                          100                                         239                            339
San Francisco                                          148                                         210                            358
St. Louis                                            94                                         163                            258
Arizona                                          103                                         181                            285
NY Jets                                          116                                         170                            286
Carolina                                          129                                         200                            329
Kansas City                                          151                                         163                            314
Indianapolis                                          102                                         261                            363
Detroit                                          114                                         316                            430
Jacksonville                                          109                                         208                            317
Buffalo                                          157                                         232                            389
New England                                          118                                         322                            440
Miami                                            89                                         278                            367
Houston                                          146                                         258                            404
Tennessee                                            86                                         209                            295
Tampa Bay                                          102                                         207                            309
Denver                                            75                                         364                            439
Pittsburgh                                          116                                         240                            356
Baltimore                                            80                                         174                            254
Cleveland                                          115                                         225                            340
Oakland                                            89                                         270                            359
Cincinnati                                            95                                         237                            332
San Diego                                          102                                         203                            305
Philadelphia                                          123                                         215                            338
Dallas                                            90                                         270                            360
NY Giants                                            97                                         317                            414
Washington                                          165                                         236                            400



NFL FULL SEASON PACKAGE - $249.95
Get every game from now until the Super Bowl with the greatest savings
Buy Now

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Statsational Power Rankings Week 12

The Giants climb back into the top 5 this week by winning convincingly on Sunday night over another top 10 team in the Green Bay Packers.  Out of the top 5 are the Seattle Seahawks who continue to struggle on the road.  The Seahawks went into Miami a 3 point favorite but were unable to defeat the Dolphins and subsequently drop to 8th.  The Seahawks have put themselves in a more difficult situation to make the playoffs. While in the 6th spot in the NFC right now they are tied with Minnesota and Tampa and Washington, New Orleans and Dallas are on their heels. 

Denver continues to hold the top spot but the gap is much narrower than it has been.  San Francisco is just .13 off the lead with New England a point behind them.

Atlanta at 10-1 still struggles to get into the top 5.  They win but not impressively and as such the computer has rated them low.  I think the public is probably in agreement with the computer.  Atlanta is a team that the public is not believing in yet.

Game of the Week
Seattle @ Chicago -4
Other games may sound sexier but this game features 2 potential playoff teams in the NFC and 2 of the top defenses in all of football.  Chicago ranks 3rd in my defensive rankings and Seattle ranks 4th.  Do not expect either team to pass it very well.  Our model is looking for 157 passing yards from Seattle and 147 from Chicago.  Both teams will look to run it.  Both are top 10 rushing teams.

Biggest Mismatch
Houston @ Tennessee +5.5
In what seems to be a trap line the Titans are getting just 5.5 points from the Texans this week albeit in Memphis.  Houston ranks 4th while Tennessee 29th.  The Titans just lost to the worst team in the league the Jacksonville Jags.  Houston won a controversial game at Detroit on Thanksgiving.  On paper Tennessee can not stay with Houston but as we have seen these games sometimes do not go as conventional wisdom would lead you to think.

Worst Matchup
Jacksonville @ Buffalo -6
There are a few clunkers on the schedule this week but this one takes the cake.  Buffalo is still hoping for a playoff spot but in our rankings they are just 26th.  We all know how bad Jacksonville is ranked dead last.  The Jags have shown some life recently with Chad Henne behind center.  Buffalo can run it and Jacksonville has a hard time stopping the run.  We look for Buffalo to be able to control clock and run the ball on the Jags.



Rank Teams Power Rating
1 Denver 29.43
2 San Francisco 29.30
3 New England 28.29
4 Houston 26.87
5 NY Giants 25.61
6 Chicago 25.27
7 Atlanta 24.85
8 Seattle 23.73
9 Pittsburgh 23.61
10 Green Bay 23.39
11 Detroit 23.23
12 Baltimore 23.20
13 Dallas 22.97
14 Cincinnati 22.17
15 Washington 22.16
16 Tampa Bay 21.43
17 Minnesota 20.73
18 San Diego 20.69
19 Carolina 20.55
20 St. Louis 19.67
21 New Orleans 19.46
22 NY Jets 19.12
23 Arizona 18.68
24 Cleveland 18.34
25 Indianapolis 17.73
26 Buffalo 17.67
27 Philadelphia 17.66
28 Miami 17.59
29 Tennessee 15.90
30 Kansas City 15.01
31 Oakland 14.54
32 Jacksonville 12.76



Rank Teams Strength Of Schedule
1 Carolina 23.08
2 NY Jets 22.75
3 St. Louis 22.66
4 Dallas 22.55
5 NY Giants 22.22
6 Arizona 22.10
7 Seattle 22.09
8 Green Bay 22.01
9 Philadelphia 22.00
10 New Orleans 21.71
11 Washington 21.69
12 Kansas City 21.58
13 Cleveland 21.58
14 Detroit 21.50
15 San Francisco 21.48
16 Denver 21.47
17 Buffalo 21.38
18 Tennessee 21.31
19 Jacksonville 21.31
20 Minnesota 21.19
21 Chicago 21.14
22 Oakland 20.90
23 Baltimore 20.84
24 San Diego 20.56
25 Tampa Bay 20.53
26 Pittsburgh 20.34
27 Atlanta 20.22
28 New England 20.16
29 Cincinnati 20.05
30 Houston 20.02
31 Miami 19.56
32 Indianapolis 19.25


NFC East 22.10 W L
NY Giants 25.61 7 4
Dallas 22.97 5 6
Washington 22.16 5 6
Philadelphia 17.66 3 8




NFC North 23.15 W L
Chicago 25.27 8 3
Green Bay 23.39 7 4
Detroit 23.23 4 7
Minnesota 20.73 6 5




NFC South 21.57 W L
Atlanta 24.85 10 1
Tampa Bay 21.43 6 5
Carolina 20.55 3 8
New Orleans 19.46 5 6




NFC West 22.84 W L
San Francisco 29.30 8 2
Seattle 23.73 6 5
St. Louis 19.67 4 6
Arizona 18.68 4 7




AFC East 20.67 W L
New England 28.29 8 3
NY Jets 19.12 4 7
Buffalo 17.67 4 7
Miami 17.59 5 6




AFC North 21.83 W L
Pittsburgh 23.61 6 5
Baltimore 23.20 9 2
Cincinnati 22.17 6 5
Cleveland 18.34 3 8




AFC South 18.31 W L
Houston 26.87 10 1
Indianapolis 17.73 7 4
Tennessee 15.90 4 7
Jacksonville 12.76 2 9




AFC West 19.92 W L
Denver 29.43 8 3
San Diego 20.69 4 7
Kansas City 15.01 1 10
Oakland 14.54 3 8



NFL FULL SEASON PACKAGE - $249.95
Get every game from now until the Super Bowl with the greatest savings
Buy Now

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Statsational Week 12 Rushing and Passing Projections

Top Rushing Teams
San Francisco, Washington, New England, Buffalo, Indianaplois, Tampa Bay

Worst Rushing Teams
Atlanta, Dallas, Cleveland, New Orleans, Arizona

Top Passing Teams
Atlanta, Dallas, Detroit, Oakland, Indianapolis

Worst Passing Teams
Cleveland, Kansas City, Minnesota, Miami, Chicago



Team  Expected Rushing Total  Expected Passing Total Total Yards
Houston                                          127                                         226                            353
Detroit                                            79                                         287                            366
Washington                                          160                                         189                            348
Dallas                                            64                                         326                            390
New England                                          157                                         251                            409
NY Jets                                            97                                         253                            349
Oakland                                            89                                         279                            368
Cincinnati                                          117                                         261                            378
Pittsburgh                                          119                                         242                            362
Cleveland                                            65                                         152                            217
Buffalo                                          150                                         228                            378
Indianapolis                                          142                                         279                            421
Denver                                          128                                         260                            388
Kansas City                                          126                                         162                            288
Tennessee                                          130                                         238                            368
Jacksonville                                            90                                         228                            318
Minnesota                                          134                                         167                            300
Chicago                                          125                                         176                            300
Atlanta                                            57                                         366                            424
Tampa Bay                                          142                                         210                            352
Seattle                                          127                                         211                            338
Miami                                            80                                         174                            254
Baltimore                                            77                                         236                            313
San Diego                                          118                                         233                            351
San Francisco                                          203                                         268                            470
New Orleans                                            75                                         244                            319
St. Louis                                          114                                         185                            299
Arizona                                            76                                         201                            276
Green Bay                                            99                                         273                            372
NY Giants                                          102                                         272                            374
Carolina                                          123                                         194                            317
Philadelphia                                          119                                         231                            351
NFL FULL SEASON PACKAGE - $249.95
Get every game from now until the Super Bowl with the greatest savings
Buy Now