Statsational Power Rankings Week 12

The Giants climb back into the top 5 this week by winning convincingly on Sunday night over another top 10 team in the Green Bay Packers.  Out of the top 5 are the Seattle Seahawks who continue to struggle on the road.  The Seahawks went into Miami a 3 point favorite but were unable to defeat the Dolphins and subsequently drop to 8th.  The Seahawks have put themselves in a more difficult situation to make the playoffs. While in the 6th spot in the NFC right now they are tied with Minnesota and Tampa and Washington, New Orleans and Dallas are on their heels. 

Denver continues to hold the top spot but the gap is much narrower than it has been.  San Francisco is just .13 off the lead with New England a point behind them.

Atlanta at 10-1 still struggles to get into the top 5.  They win but not impressively and as such the computer has rated them low.  I think the public is probably in agreement with the computer.  Atlanta is a team that the public is not believing in yet.

Game of the Week
Seattle @ Chicago -4
Other games may sound sexier but this game features 2 potential playoff teams in the NFC and 2 of the top defenses in all of football.  Chicago ranks 3rd in my defensive rankings and Seattle ranks 4th.  Do not expect either team to pass it very well.  Our model is looking for 157 passing yards from Seattle and 147 from Chicago.  Both teams will look to run it.  Both are top 10 rushing teams.

Biggest Mismatch
Houston @ Tennessee +5.5
In what seems to be a trap line the Titans are getting just 5.5 points from the Texans this week albeit in Memphis.  Houston ranks 4th while Tennessee 29th.  The Titans just lost to the worst team in the league the Jacksonville Jags.  Houston won a controversial game at Detroit on Thanksgiving.  On paper Tennessee can not stay with Houston but as we have seen these games sometimes do not go as conventional wisdom would lead you to think.

Worst Matchup
Jacksonville @ Buffalo -6
There are a few clunkers on the schedule this week but this one takes the cake.  Buffalo is still hoping for a playoff spot but in our rankings they are just 26th.  We all know how bad Jacksonville is ranked dead last.  The Jags have shown some life recently with Chad Henne behind center.  Buffalo can run it and Jacksonville has a hard time stopping the run.  We look for Buffalo to be able to control clock and run the ball on the Jags.

Rank	Teams	Power Rating
1	Denver	29.43
2	San Francisco	29.30
3	New England	28.29
4	Houston	26.87
5	NY Giants	25.61
6	Chicago	25.27
7	Atlanta	24.85
8	Seattle	23.73
9	Pittsburgh	23.61
10	Green Bay	23.39
11	Detroit	23.23
12	Baltimore	23.20
13	Dallas	22.97
14	Cincinnati	22.17
15	Washington	22.16
16	Tampa Bay	21.43
17	Minnesota	20.73
18	San Diego	20.69
19	Carolina	20.55
20	St. Louis	19.67
21	New Orleans	19.46
22	NY Jets	19.12
23	Arizona	18.68
24	Cleveland	18.34
25	Indianapolis	17.73
26	Buffalo	17.67
27	Philadelphia	17.66
28	Miami	17.59
29	Tennessee	15.90
30	Kansas City	15.01
31	Oakland	14.54
32	Jacksonville	12.76

Rank	Teams	Strength Of Schedule
1	Carolina	23.08
2	NY Jets	22.75
3	St. Louis	22.66
4	Dallas	22.55
5	NY Giants	22.22
6	Arizona	22.10
7	Seattle	22.09
8	Green Bay	22.01
9	Philadelphia	22.00
10	New Orleans	21.71
11	Washington	21.69
12	Kansas City	21.58
13	Cleveland	21.58
14	Detroit	21.50
15	San Francisco	21.48
16	Denver	21.47
17	Buffalo	21.38
18	Tennessee	21.31
19	Jacksonville	21.31
20	Minnesota	21.19
21	Chicago	21.14
22	Oakland	20.90
23	Baltimore	20.84
24	San Diego	20.56
25	Tampa Bay	20.53
26	Pittsburgh	20.34
27	Atlanta	20.22
28	New England	20.16
29	Cincinnati	20.05
30	Houston	20.02
31	Miami	19.56
32	Indianapolis	19.25

NFC East	22.10	W	L
NY Giants	25.61	7	4
Dallas	22.97	5	6
Washington	22.16	5	6
Philadelphia	17.66	3	8
NFC North	23.15	W	L
Chicago	25.27	8	3
Green Bay	23.39	7	4
Detroit	23.23	4	7
Minnesota	20.73	6	5
NFC South	21.57	W	L
Atlanta	24.85	10	1
Tampa Bay	21.43	6	5
Carolina	20.55	3	8
New Orleans	19.46	5	6
NFC West	22.84	W	L
San Francisco	29.30	8	2
Seattle	23.73	6	5
St. Louis	19.67	4	6
Arizona	18.68	4	7
AFC East	20.67	W	L
New England	28.29	8	3
NY Jets	19.12	4	7
Buffalo	17.67	4	7
Miami	17.59	5	6
AFC North	21.83	W	L
Pittsburgh	23.61	6	5
Baltimore	23.20	9	2
Cincinnati	22.17	6	5
Cleveland	18.34	3	8
AFC South	18.31	W	L
Houston	26.87	10	1
Indianapolis	17.73	7	4
Tennessee	15.90	4	7
Jacksonville	12.76	2	9
AFC West	19.92	W	L
Denver	29.43	8	3
San Diego	20.69	4	7
Kansas City	15.01	1	10
Oakland	14.54	3	8

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